In today’s interconnected world, global events can have profound and far-reaching impacts on businesses. One region’s volatility can echo across continents, demanding swift and strategic reactions from industries. For Chief Risk Officers, the challenge lies in forecasting and preparing for these ripple effects. Here, the marriage of Systems Dynamics with scenario planning becomes indispensable, as…
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We at Exoshock have been asked to look closely at the range of outcomes for UK Ltd with regards to post-Brexit and the consequences of reduced or enhanced trade over a 3 year period from February 2020. Good news or bad? But first, why Exoshock? As an aside, “It’s tough to make predictions, especially about…
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Exoshock’s global macroeconomic models are able to address various aspects of Covid-19 pandemic effects on the global, regional economies, marketplaces, and supply chains. Earlier we have looked at the commodity prices impact, consumer price index, inflation and hyperinflation scenarios due to demand shock, and food price and world’s poverty implications. Today we turn to the…
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Exoshock Insights on the Global Economy Exoshock is using its models again to monitor Covid-19 effects on the global and regional economies Among the major concerns for the impact of Covid-19 on the global economy there is the food supply disruption leading to food insecurity problem. While some countries might enjoy a healthier economic system…
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Exoshock Insights on the Global Economy Exoshock is using its model to monitor Covid-19 effects on the global and regional economies The lockdown of UK population due to Covid-19 spread during the last week has become a particular concern for the government while the death toll sharply rises. Such an intervention also impacts economic stability…
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Exoshock Insights on the Global Economy Exoshock is using its model to monitor Covid-19 effects on the global and regional economies Recent global and regional events associated with Covid-19 and the spread of this deadly virus has shown the unpredictable impact of this virus on the economy and much wider implications on multiple aspects of…
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Exoshock Insights on the Global Economy Exoshock is using its model to monitor Covid-19 effects on the global and regional economies Recent global and regional events associated with Covid-19 and the spread of this deadly virus has shown the unpredictable impact of this virus on the economy and much wider implications on multiple aspects of…
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With greater pressure from the government and investors to shift to renewable energy sources there has been a surge in the production of biofuels around the world. Biofuels are an important form of renewable energy but not all are created equal. It is vital to evaluate their impact on both food security and the environment. Biofuels have…
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Pressure is building on CEOs from both the government and major investors,who are keen to ensure that businesses understand and plan for the impact that changes in the environment will have on their operations. As climate change continues to climb to the top of the world’s agenda and we transition away from fossil fuels to renewable…
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The impact of climate change threatens global food security. Many countries will need to adapt as it becomes harder to produce food and they become more vulnerable to the increased volatility of international food prices. While global efforts such as the Paris Agreement have tried to limit global warming to 2°C above pre-industrial levels, projections…
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